ToolkitUpdated: 2023-11-20

Decision Architect Framework

A systematic framework to minimize regret and maximize expected value in high-stakes decisions.

Description

Based on decision theory and probabilistic thinking, this framework guides you through a structured process for making complex choices. It includes templates for Bayesian updating, a trade-off matrix, and a 'time-horizon' impact analysis to ensure you aren't optimizing for the short term at the expense of the long term.

Use Case

Perfect for: Executives, Investors, and anyone facing career-defining choices.

Included Files

Decision_Matrix_Template.notion
Cognitive_Bias_Checklist.pdf
Regret_Minimization_Worksheet.docx

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€39EUR

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Preview


### Phase 2: Bias Removal

*   **Sunk Cost Scan**: Are you continuing this path solely because of past investment?
*   **Confirmation Bias Check**: List 3 pieces of evidence that specifically *disprove* your preferred option.
*   **Base Rate Neglect**: What is the historical success rate of this class of action? (Ignore your 'unique' circumstances for a moment).
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